Vaneck Vectors Oil Refiners Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 06, 2026 Gain 8.38%

The VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF price fell by -0.0759% on the last day (Wednesday, 15th Jul 2026) from $52.68 to $52.64. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.94% from a day low at $52.09 to a day high of $53.10. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 14.24% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -18 thousand shares and in total, 196 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.33 million.

The ETFis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $52.67 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $44.55 and $52.36 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

CRAK Signals & Forecast

The VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $50.89 and $48.12. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.0759%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $49.83 and $48.77. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS finds support just below today's level at $49.83. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $48.77 and $47.58.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.01 between high and low, or 1.94%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.25%.

The VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $50.97 (-3.17%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 93 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (CRAK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 16th we expect VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF to open at $52.61, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $52.18 and $53.10, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.93 (+/-1.78%) up or down from last closing price. If VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.78% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $52.68 (0.08%) than the support at $49.83 (5.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF ETF A Buy?

VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.271 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 16, 2026 - $52.61 ( 0.0570%).

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