Vaneck Vectors Oil Refiners Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 20, 2025 Gain 9.82%

The VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF price fell by -1.16% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $41.26 to $40.78. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.65% from a day low at $40.62 to a day high of $41.29. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.27% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 46 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 71 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.89 million.

The ETF lies in the upper part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $41.35 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 15.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.77 and $47.89 at the end of this 3-month period.

CRAK Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.16%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $40.63 and $38.30. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF

VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS finds support from accumulated volume at $39.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.670 between high and low, or 1.65%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.52%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $39.46 (-3.24%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (CRAK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF to open at $40.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $40.46 and $41.10, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.632 (+/-1.56%) up or down from last closing price. If VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $40.81 (0.07%) than the support at $39.10 (4.12%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.826 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $40.90 ( 0.286%).

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