- High gross margin of 78.3%
- Attractive free cash flow ratio of 6.5x
- Highly efficient cash conversion (85% FCF/OCF ratio)
Cerence Inc. stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Jun 29, 2026)
The Cerence Inc. stock price gained 2.26% on the last trading day (Monday, 29th Jun 2026), rising from $10.61 to $10.85. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.03% from a day low at $10.54 to a day high of $11.07. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.17% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -710 thousand shares and in total, 775 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.40 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $9.98 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 41.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.10 and $20.22 at the end of this 3-month period.
CRNC Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -17.18%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Cerence Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $10.37 and $10.69. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cerence Inc. stock
Cerence Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $10.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.530 between high and low, or 5.03%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.96%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.39 (-4.23%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CRNC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect Cerence Inc. to open at $10.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.44 and $11.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.82 (+/-7.84%) up or down from last closing price. If Cerence Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.84% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $10.77 (0.74%) than the resistance at $10.98 (1.20%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Cerence Inc. stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
1.078
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 30, 2026 - $10.82 ( 0.276%).
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CRNC Performance
Trading levels for CRNC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 11.35 | 4.61% |
| R2 | 11.15 | 2.74% |
| R1 | 11.02 | 1.59% |
| Price | 10.85 | |
| S1 | 10.62 | -2.14% |
| S2 | 10.49 | -3.30% |
| S3 | 10.29 | -5.16% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.86 | 18.53% |
| R2 | 12.74 | 17.42% |
| R1 | 10.98 | 1.20% |
| Price | 10.85 | |
| S1 | 10.77 | -0.737% |
| S2 | 10.68 | -1.57% |
| S3 | 10.61 | -2.21% |
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