- High gross margin of 78.3%
- Attractive free cash flow ratio of 5.2x
- Highly efficient cash conversion (85% FCF/OCF ratio)
Weaker technical forecast for Cerence Inc. as stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 20, 2026)
The Cerence Inc. stock price fell by -0.348% on the last day (Monday, 20th Jul 2026) from $8.63 to $8.60. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.42% from a day low at $8.38 to a day high of $8.75. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -21.68% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -185 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.67 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.93% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $9.28 and $14.71 at the end of this 3-month period.
CRNC Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Cerence Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $9.67 and $10.66. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -34.35%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cerence Inc. stock
Cerence Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $8.54 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.370 between high and low, or 4.42%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.50%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CRNC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Cerence Inc. to open at $8.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $8.23 and $8.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.736 (+/-8.93%) up or down from last closing price. If Cerence Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.93% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $8.63 (0.35%) than the support at $8.54 (0.70%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Cerence Inc. stock A Buy?
The Cerence Inc. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Cerence Inc. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score:
-5.386
Strong Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 21, 2026 - $8.58 ( 0.271%).
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CRNC Performance
Trading levels for CRNC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 8.95 | 4.03% |
| R2 | 8.81 | 2.39% |
| R1 | 8.72 | 1.37% |
| Price | 8.60 | |
| S1 | 8.44 | -1.91% |
| S2 | 8.35 | -2.93% |
| S3 | 8.21 | -4.57% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.68 | 24.19% |
| R2 | 10.61 | 23.37% |
| R1 | 8.63 | 0.349% |
| Price | 8.60 | |
| S1 | 8.54 | -0.698% |
| S2 | 8.09 | -5.93% |
| S3 | 0 | - |
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