Consolidated Tomoka Land Company Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Consolidated Tomoka Land Company stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Consolidated Tomoka Land Company stock price gained 0.576% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from $17.37 to $17.47. It has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.13% from a day low at $17.35 to a day high of $17.55. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.49% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -23 thousand shares and in total, 86 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.50 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $17.64 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.09% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $17.30 and $18.18 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CTO Signals & Forecast
The Consolidated Tomoka Land Company stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $17.27 and $16.91. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, March 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.94%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, February 22, 2024 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, February 22, 2024 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Consolidated Tomoka Land Company stock
Consolidated Tomoka Land Company finds support from accumulated volume at $17.09 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.196 between high and low, or 1.13%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.17%
Our recommended stop-loss: $16.87 (-3.46%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 34 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CTO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Consolidated Tomoka Land Company to open at $17.46, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.25 and $17.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.217 (+/-1.24%) up or down from last closing price. If Consolidated Tomoka Land Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $17.09, some $0.380 (2.18%) from the current price of $17.47, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Earnings coming up
Consolidated Tomoka Land Company will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.420. We will update the financials statements for Consolidated Tomoka Land Company, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.53% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Consolidated Tomoka Land Company stock A Buy?
Consolidated Tomoka Land Company holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Consolidated Tomoka Land Company of Friday, May 3, 2024
Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$17.46 ( 0.0689%) | $17.47 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CTO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 17.65 | 1.05 % | |
R2 | 17.58 | 0.625 % | ||
R1 | 17.53 | 0.360 % | ||
Current price: | 17.47 | |||
Support | S1 | 17.38 | -0.498 % | |
S2 | 17.34 | -0.763 % | ||
S3 | 17.26 | -1.19 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 17.47 | |||
Support | S1 | 17.09 | -2.18% | |
S2 | 17.00 | -2.69% | ||
S3 | 16.72 | -4.29% |
CTO Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 20, 2024 | Mar 13, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.380 | 2.24% |
2 | Dec 13, 2023 | Dec 13, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.380 | 2.19% |
3 | May 23, 2023 | Sep 13, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.380 | 2.34% |
4 | May 22, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.380 | 2.22% |
5 | Feb 22, 2023 | Mar 08, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.380 | 2.20% |
FAQ
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