Cotton Commodity Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Cotton commodity price gained 0.109% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $64.14 to $64.21. During the last trading day the commodity fluctuated 0.643% from a day low at $63.80 to a day high of $64.21. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.32% for this period.

The commodity lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the commodity is expected to fall -5.25% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $58.60 and $61.84 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the commodity price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

CTUSX Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Cotton commodity holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the commodity giving a more negative forecast for the commodity. On further gains, the commodity will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $64.37. On a fall, the commodity will find some support from the short-term average at $64.09. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, November 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.573%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cotton commodity

Cotton finds support from accumulated volume at $64.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the commodity tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the commodity During the last day, the commodity moved $0.410 between high and low, or 0.643%. For the last week the commodity has had daily average volatility of -0.184%

Our recommended stop-loss: $61.70 (-3.91%) (This commodity has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (CTUSX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Cotton to open at $64.07, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $63.93 and $64.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.567 (+/-0.89%) up or down from last closing price. If Cotton takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $64.14 (0.11%) than the resistance at $64.58 (0.58%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Cotton commodity A Buy?

Cotton holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this commodity since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $64.07 ( 0.213%).

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