Cavco Industries Stock Forecast

Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Green day on Friday for Cavco Industries stock after gaining 0.559%
(Updated on Feb 14, 2025)
The Cavco Industries stock price gained 0.559% on the last trading day (Friday, 14th Feb 2025), rising from $535.31 to $538.30. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.88% from a day low at $534.81 to a day high of $539.50. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.83% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -15 thousand shares and in total, 29 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.85 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $546.81 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.85% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $449.84 and $562.40 at the end of this 3-month period.

CVCO Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Cavco Industries stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $531.91 and $479.74. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, January 10, 2025, and so far it has risen 24.81%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cavco Industries stock
Cavco Industries finds support from accumulated volume at $515.86 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.69 between high and low, or 0.88%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.08%.
The Cavco Industries stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stock may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $522.50 (-2.94%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 24 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CVCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Cavco Industries to open at $537.54, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $524.71 and $551.89, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$13.59 (+/-2.52%) up or down from last closing price. If Cavco Industries takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $515.86, some $22.44 (4.17%) from the current price of $538.30, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Cavco Industries stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Cavco Industries stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score:
3.468
Buy Candidate
Unchanged
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on February 18, 2025 - $537.54 ( 0.142%).CVCO Performance
Trading levels for CVCO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 542.23 | 0.729% |
R2 | 540.44 | 0.397% |
R1 | 539.33 | 0.191% |
Price | 538.30 | |
S1 | 535.75 | -0.475% |
S2 | 534.64 | -0.680% |
S3 | 532.85 | -1.01% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0 | - |
R2 | 0 | - |
R1 | 0 | - |
Price | 538.30 | |
S1 | 515.86 | -4.17% |
S2 | 508.64 | -5.51% |
S3 | 455.30 | -15.42% |
FAQ
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