Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc stock price gained 3.31% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $14.18 to $14.65. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.32% from a day low at $14.09 to a day high of $14.84. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.66% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -121 thousand shares and in total, 317 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.65 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $14.17 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.45% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.83 and $16.67 at the end of this 3-month period.
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DCPH Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $15.26. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $14.51. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.31%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc stock
Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $14.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.750 between high and low, or 5.32%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.10%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $14.01 (-4.34%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (DCPH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc to open at $14.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.03 and $15.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.617 (+/-4.21%) up or down from last closing price. If Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $14.50 (1.02%) than the resistance at $15.59 (6.42%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.550. We will update the financials statements for Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 9.06% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc stock A Buy?
Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.524 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Inc of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$14.53 ( 0.84%) | $14.65 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for DCPH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 15.28 | 4.28 % | |
R2 | 14.99 | 2.32 % | ||
R1 | 14.81 | 1.11 % | ||
Current price: | 14.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 14.24 | -2.80 % | |
S2 | 14.06 | -4.01 % | ||
S3 | 13.78 | -5.96 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 15.75 | 7.51 % | |
R2 | 15.73 | 7.37 % | ||
R1 | 15.59 | 6.42 % | ||
Current price | 14.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 14.50 | -1.02% | |
S2 | 14.48 | -1.16% | ||
S3 | 14.23 | -2.87% |
FAQ
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