Disney Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Apr 03, 2025 Loss -4.54%

The Disney stock price gained 2.46% on the last trading day (Thursday, 17th Apr 2025), rising from $82.77 to $84.81. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.90% from a day low at $83.36 to a day high of $85.78. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.54% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 6 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 15 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.25 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -23.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $59.81 and $74.19 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

DIS Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 08, 2025, and so far it has risen 3.78%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Disney stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $85.54 and $96.57. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Disney stock

Disney finds support from accumulated volume at $83.53 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $2.42 between high and low, or 2.90%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.69%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (DIS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 21st we expect Walt Disney Company (The) to open at $84.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $81.05 and $88.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.76 (+/-4.43%) up or down from last closing price. If Walt Disney Company (The) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.86% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $83.53 (1.51%) than the resistance at $88.84 (4.75%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For DIS

Dividend coming up for DIS: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 24th June, 2025) is 65 days away. The dividend is $0.500.

Is Walt Disney Company (The) stock A Buy?

Disney holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.513 Sell Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 21, 2025 - $84.65 ( 0.189%).