Drax Group Stock Forecast
Drax Group stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Drax Group stock price fell by -3.11% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from £508.00 to £492.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.42% from a day low at £485.40 to a day high of £502.00. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.53% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £747.39 million.
The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at £487.47 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Drax Group stock with a 90% probability to be traded between £495.54 and £583.46 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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DRX.L Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.23%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Drax Group stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £509.03 and £520.19. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Drax Group stock
Drax Group finds support from accumulated volume at £486.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved £16.60 (3.42%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £468.20 (-4.88%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 25 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (DRX.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Drax Group to open at £493.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £476.40 and £508.00, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£15.80 (+/-3.21%) up or down from last closing price. If Drax Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £486.20 (1.22%) than the resistance at £508.00 (3.21%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Drax Group stock A Buy?
Drax Group holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Drax Group of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £493.20 ( 0.203%) | £492.20 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for DRX.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 509.80 | 3.58% |
| R2 | 503.46 | 2.29% |
| R1 | 499.54 | 1.49% |
| Price | 492.20 | |
| S1 | 486.86 | -1.09% |
| S2 | 482.94 | -1.88% |
| S3 | 476.60 | -3.17% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 561.00 | 13.98% |
| R2 | 513.50 | 4.33% |
| R1 | 508.00 | 3.21% |
| Price | 492.20 | |
| S1 | 486.20 | -1.22% |
| S2 | 485.40 | -1.38% |
| S3 | 483.20 | -1.83% |
DRX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 18, 2024 | Apr 18, 2024 | May 17, 2024 | £13.90 | 2.48% |
| 2 | Aug 24, 2023 | Aug 24, 2023 | Oct 06, 2023 | £9.20 | 2.22% |
| 3 | Feb 23, 2023 | Apr 20, 2023 | May 19, 2023 | £12.60 | 2.02% |
| 4 | Jul 26, 2022 | Aug 25, 2022 | Oct 07, 2022 | £8.40 | 1.50% |
| 5 | Feb 24, 2022 | Apr 28, 2022 | May 13, 2022 | £11.30 | 1.51% |
FAQ
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