Ellington Residential Mortgage Reit Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 24, 2026 Gain 2.45%

The Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock price gained 2.45% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026), rising from $4.49 to $4.60. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.22% from a day low at $4.50 to a day high of $4.60. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.13% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -359 thousand shares and in total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $42.21 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $4.36 and $4.93 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

EARN Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $4.69. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $4.45. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 17, 2026, and so far it has risen 5.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT finds support from accumulated volume at $4.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.1000 between high and low, or 2.22%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.20%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $4.41 (-4.04%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (EARN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT to open at $4.57, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.55 and $4.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.104 (+/-2.28%) up or down from last closing price. If Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $4.63 (0.65%) than the support at $4.49 (2.39%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock A Buy?

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.258 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $4.57 ( 0.725%).

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