Ellington Residential Mortgage Reit Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Jun 22, 2026 Gain 2.29%

The Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock price gained 2.29% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026), rising from $4.36 to $4.46. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.10% from a day low at $4.35 to a day high of $4.49. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.67% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 25 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 331 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.48 million.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $4.36 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.01% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.45 and $5.06 at the end of this 3-month period.

EARN Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 17, 2026, and so far it has risen 2.29%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $4.71. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $4.46. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT finds support from accumulated volume at $4.43 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.135 between high and low, or 3.10%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.61%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $4.21 (-5.52%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (EARN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT to open at $4.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.41 and $4.51, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.108 (+/-2.45%) up or down from last closing price. If Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $4.43 (0.67%) than the resistance at $4.63 (3.81%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT stock A Buy?

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.382 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $4.43 ( 0.635%).

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