iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF price gained 0.83% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from $28.99 to $29.23. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.78% from a day low at $28.86 to a day high of $29.37. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.18% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 93 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 194 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.69 million.
The ETF has broken the weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $29.05, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $31.47 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.
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ECH Signals & Forecast
The iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $28.68 and $27.24. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 13.69%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, February 27, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, February 27, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $27.19 and $26.57. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, iShares MSCI Chile Capped finds support just below today's level at $27.19. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $26.57 and $25.38.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.515 between high and low, or 1.78%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.24%.
The iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF is extremely overbought on RSI14 (77). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the ETF has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the ETF will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: $27.87 (-4.64%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 77 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 23 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ECH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF to open at $29.15, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.76 and $29.70, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.472 (+/-1.61%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $27.19, some $2.04 (6.98%) from the current price of $29.23, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares MSCI Chile Capped holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for iShares MSCI Chile Capped ETF of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $29.15 ( 0.268%) | $29.23 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ECH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 29.67 | 1.49 % | |
| R2 | 29.47 | 0.82 % | ||
| R1 | 29.35 | 0.405 % | ||
| Current price: | 29.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 28.95 | -0.94 % | |
| S2 | 28.83 | -1.36 % | ||
| S3 | 28.64 | -2.03 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 29.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 27.19 | -6.98% | |
| S2 | 26.57 | -9.10% | ||
| S3 | 25.38 | -13.17% |
ECH Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.176 | 0.643% |
| 2 | Jun 06, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | Jun 13, 2023 | $1.17 | 4.08% |
| 3 | Dec 12, 2022 | Dec 13, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | $0.689 | 2.71% |
| 4 | Jun 08, 2022 | Jun 09, 2022 | Jun 15, 2022 | $1.14 | 4.22% |
| 5 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 30, 2021 | Jan 05, 2022 | $0.0880 | 0.377% |
FAQ
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