Encore Capital Group Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 18, 2025

The Encore Capital Group Inc stock price gained 0.157% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 18th Jun 2025), rising from $38.16 to $38.22. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.47% from a day low at $37.91 to a day high of $38.84. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.18% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -65 thousand shares and in total, 172 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.58 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 22.23% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $40.76 and $53.73 at the end of this 3-month period.

ECPG Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Encore Capital Group Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $38.74 and $38.23. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -6.58%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Encore Capital Group Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $32.95 and $31.68. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Encore Capital Group Inc finds support just below today's level at $32.95. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $31.68 and $29.65.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.94 between high and low, or 2.47%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.77%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ECPG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 20th we expect Encore Capital Group Inc to open at $38.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $37.02 and $39.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.20 (+/-3.14%) up or down from last closing price. If Encore Capital Group Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $39.85 (4.26%) than the support at $32.95 (13.79%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Encore Capital Group Inc stock A Buy?

The Encore Capital Group Inc stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Encore Capital Group Inc will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Sell candidate.

Current score: -5.292 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 20, 2025 - $38.32 ( 0.266%).

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