First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 21, 2025 Loss -0.46%

The First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight ETF price fell by -0.96% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $40.72 to $40.33. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.24% from a day low at $40.26 to a day high of $40.76. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.54% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 15 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $598.79 thousand.

The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 3.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $41.27 and $42.92 at the end of this 3-month period.

EDOW Signals & Forecast

A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.56%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $40.76. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $40.32. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight ETF

First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight finds support from accumulated volume at $40.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.500 between high and low, or 1.24%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.02%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $38.70 (-4.03%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (EDOW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight ETF to open at $40.45, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $40.14 and $40.51, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.378 (+/-0.94%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.94% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $40.30 (0.06%) than the resistance at $40.51 (0.46%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Dow 30 Equal Weight ETF ETF A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.

Current score: 1.725 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $40.45 ( 0.298%).

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