iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF price fell by -0.473% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $69.84 to $69.51. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.548% from a day low at $69.31 to a day high of $69.69. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.46% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -186 thousand shares and in total, 310 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $21.58 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $68.62 and $72.17 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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EFAV Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $70.01. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $68.65. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.473%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF
iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE finds support from accumulated volume at $69.27 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.380 between high and low, or 0.548%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.629%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $66.58 (-4.22%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (EFAV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF to open at $69.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $68.94 and $70.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.573 (+/-0.82%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $69.71 (0.29%) than the support at $69.27 (0.35%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.266 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol EAFE ETF of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$69.50 ( 0.0096%) | $69.51 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EFAV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 69.88 | 0.537 % | |
R2 | 69.74 | 0.328 % | ||
R1 | 69.65 | 0.199 % | ||
Current price: | 69.51 | |||
Support | S1 | 69.36 | -0.218 % | |
S2 | 69.27 | -0.347 % | ||
S3 | 69.12 | -0.556 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 70.98 | 2.11 % | |
R2 | 70.76 | 1.80 % | ||
R1 | 69.71 | 0.288 % | ||
Current price | 69.51 | |||
Support | S1 | 69.27 | -0.345% | |
S2 | 68.25 | -1.81% | ||
S3 | 67.97 | -2.22% |
EFAV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.82 | 1.22% |
2 | Jun 06, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | Jun 13, 2023 | $1.31 | 1.94% |
3 | Dec 12, 2022 | Dec 13, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | $0.497 | 0.789% |
4 | Jun 08, 2022 | Jun 09, 2022 | Jun 15, 2022 | $1.11 | 1.78% |
5 | Dec 10, 2021 | Dec 13, 2021 | Dec 17, 2021 | $0.634 | 0.84% |
FAQ
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