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Weaker technical forecast for iShares MSCI EAFE Value as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 13, 2026)
The iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF price fell by -0.459% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $78.39 to $78.03. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.776% from a day low at $77.93 to a day high of $78.53. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.55% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 9 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $717.68 million.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $75.18 and $78.88 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
EFV Signals & Forecast
The iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $78.05. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $77.61. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 06, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.586%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF
iShares MSCI EAFE Value finds support from accumulated volume at $77.85 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.605 between high and low, or 0.776%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.82%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (EFV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF to open at $78.16, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $77.61 and $78.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.85 (+/-1.09%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $77.85 (0.23%) than the resistance at $78.49 (0.59%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares MSCI EAFE Value holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.033
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $78.16 ( 0.169%).
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EFV Performance
Trading levels for EFV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 78.77 | 0.94% |
| R2 | 78.54 | 0.648% |
| R1 | 78.39 | 0.465% |
| Price | 78.03 | |
| S1 | 77.93 | -0.127% |
| S2 | 77.79 | -0.310% |
| S3 | 77.56 | -0.607% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 78.64 | 0.782% |
| R2 | 78.59 | 0.718% |
| R1 | 78.49 | 0.590% |
| Price | 78.03 | |
| S1 | 77.85 | -0.231% |
| S2 | 77.83 | -0.256% |
| S3 | 77.62 | -0.525% |
EFV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 05, 2025 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 18, 2026 | $2.04 | 2.64% |
| 2 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 19, 2025 | $1.61 | 2.29% |
| 3 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | $1.36 | 2.21% |
| 4 | Dec 17, 2024 | Dec 17, 2024 | Dec 20, 2024 | $0.91 | 1.76% |
| 5 | Jun 11, 2024 | Jun 11, 2024 | Jun 17, 2024 | $1.54 | 2.92% |
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