Eur/nzd Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 06, 2025 Loss -0.08%

The EUR/NZD currency pair price gained 0.118% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $2.04 to $2.05. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.505% from a day low at $2.04 to a day high of $2.05. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.48% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -38 thousand shares and in total, 136 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $278.06 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 3.53% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.08 and $2.13 at the end of this 3-month period.

EURNZD Signals & Forecast

The EUR/NZD currency pair holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the currency pair giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $2.05. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $2.03. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, November 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.500%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 03, 2025 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, December 05, 2024.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for EUR/NZD currency pair

EUR/NZD finds support from accumulated volume at $2.02 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.0103 between high and low, or 0.505%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.596%

Our recommended stop-loss: $1.98 (-3.34%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (EURNZD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect EUR/NZD to open at $2.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.04 and $2.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0126 (+/-0.62%) up or down from last closing price. If EUR/NZD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.62% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $2.05 (0.08%) than the support at $2.02 (1.24%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is EUR/NZD currency pair A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for EUR/NZD currency pair to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.370 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $2.05 ( 0.0469%).

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