EUR/NZD Currency Pair Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Tuesday for EUR/NZD
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The EUR/NZD currency pair price gained 0.0829% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024), rising from $1.75 to $1.75. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.357% from a day low at $1.75 to a day high of $1.75. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.17% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 90 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 121 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $211.47 thousand.
The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to fall -3.57% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.67 and $1.71 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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EURNZD Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 13, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.551%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. EUR/NZD has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The EUR/NZD currency pair holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the currency pair giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $1.76. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the short-term average at $1.75. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for EUR/NZD currency pair
EUR/NZD finds support from accumulated volume at $1.75 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.0062 between high and low, or 0.357%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.423%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (EURNZD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect EUR/NZD to open at $1.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.74 and $1.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0071 (+/-0.41%) up or down from last closing price. If EUR/NZD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.82% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1.75 (0.14%) than the resistance at $1.77 (1.06%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is EUR/NZD currency pair A Buy?
EUR/NZD holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair.
Current score: -1.725 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for EUR/NZD of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$1.75 ( 0.0244%) | $1.75 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EURNZD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 1.76 | 0.381% |
R2 | 1.76 | 0.245% |
R1 | 1.75 | 0.161% |
Price | 1.75 | |
S1 | 1.75 | -0.112% |
S2 | 1.75 | -0.196% |
S3 | 1.75 | -0.332% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 1.81 | 3.28% |
R2 | 1.79 | 2.36% |
R1 | 1.77 | 1.06% |
Price | 1.75 | |
S1 | 1.75 | -0.144% |
S2 | 1.74 | -0.449% |
S3 | 1.74 | -0.548% |
FAQ
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