Evans Bancorp Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evans Bancorp Inc stock price ended at $26.07 on Friday, after gaining 0.154%.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Evans Bancorp Inc stock price gained 0.154% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $26.03 to $26.07. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.54% from a day low at $26.00 to a day high of $26.40. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.59% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -10 thousand shares and in total, 25 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $650.37 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $25.61 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.44% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $23.19 and $26.16 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
EVBN Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.656%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Evans Bancorp Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $28.16. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $26.06. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Evans Bancorp Inc stock
Evans Bancorp Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $26.03 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.400 between high and low, or 1.54%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.20%.
Evans Bancorp Inc is oversold on RSI14 (12). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (EVBN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Evans Bancorp Inc to open at $26.16, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $25.57 and $26.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.502 (+/-1.93%) up or down from last closing price. If Evans Bancorp Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $26.03 (0.15%) than the resistance at $29.00 (11.24%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Evans Bancorp Inc will release earnings AMC on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.460. We will update the financials statements for Evans Bancorp Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.92% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Evans Bancorp Inc stock A Buy?
Evans Bancorp Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.486 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Evans Bancorp Inc of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $26.16 ( 0.332%) | $26.07 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EVBN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 26.56 | 1.87 % | |
| R2 | 26.40 | 1.28 % | ||
| R1 | 26.31 | 0.92 % | ||
| Current price: | 26.07 | |||
| Support | S1 | 26.00 | -0.254 % | |
| S2 | 25.91 | -0.616 % | ||
| S3 | 25.76 | -1.20 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 29.70 | 13.92 % | |
| R2 | 29.01 | 11.28 % | ||
| R1 | 29.00 | 11.24 % | ||
| Current price | 26.07 | |||
| Support | S1 | 26.03 | -0.153% | |
| S2 | 26.00 | -0.269% | ||
| S3 | 25.90 | -0.652% |
EVBN Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 11, 2024 | Mar 11, 2024 | Mar 11, 2024 | $0 | 0% |
| 2 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Oct 18, 2023 | $0.660 | 2.41% |
| 3 | Feb 22, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | Apr 04, 2023 | $0.660 | 2.03% |
| 4 | Aug 16, 2022 | Sep 12, 2022 | Oct 04, 2022 | $0.640 | 1.74% |
| 5 | Feb 16, 2022 | Mar 10, 2022 | Apr 05, 2022 | $0.620 | 1.63% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Evans Bancorp Inc Stock.
