First Trust Emerging ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 05, 2025 Gain 0.93%

The FIRST TRUST EMERGING ETF price fell by -0.504% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $29.74 to $29.59. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.49% from a day low at $29.37 to a day high of $29.81. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.77% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 46 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 69 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.03 million.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect FIRST TRUST EMERGING ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $29.76 and $30.52 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

FEMB Signals & Forecast

The FIRST TRUST EMERGING ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $29.66. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $29.41. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, November 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.655%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, November 05, 2025 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Tuesday, March 04, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST EMERGING ETF

FIRST TRUST EMERGING finds support from accumulated volume at $29.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.437 between high and low, or 1.49%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.54%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $28.66 (-3.14%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FEMB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect FIRST TRUST EMERGING MARKETS LOCAL CURRENCY BOND ETF to open at $29.59, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $29.43 and $29.74, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.317 (+/-1.08%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST EMERGING MARKETS LOCAL CURRENCY BOND ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.08% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $29.61 (0.08%) than the support at $29.40 (0.63%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is FIRST TRUST EMERGING MARKETS LOCAL CURRENCY BOND ETF ETF A Buy?

FIRST TRUST EMERGING holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.360 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $29.59 ( 0.0085%).

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