Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited Stock Forecast
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited stock price gained 2.11% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024), rising from $1,496.71 to $1,528.34. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.30% from a day low at $1,488.00 to a day high of $1,537.06. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 3.04% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -8 thousand shares and in total, 32 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $49.17 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1,537.71 and $1,804.60 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FFH.TO Signals & Forecast
The Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $1,494.82 and $1,494.31. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, April 26, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, April 26, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited stock
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $1,496.48 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $49.06 between high and low, or 3.30%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1,473.53 (-3.59%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 30 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FFH.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited to open at $1,517.80, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1,497.59 and $1,559.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$30.75 (+/-2.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.02% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $1,537.53 (0.60%) than the support at $1,496.48 (2.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 09, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $82.90. We will update the financials statements for Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.57% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited stock A Buy?
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.958 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited of Thursday, May 2, 2024
Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$1,517.80 ( 0.690%) | $1,528.34 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FFH.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 1,566.86 | 2.52 % | |
R2 | 1,548.12 | 1.29 % | ||
R1 | 1,536.54 | 0.537 % | ||
Current price: | 1,528.34 | |||
Support | S1 | 1,499.06 | -1.92 % | |
S2 | 1,487.48 | -2.67 % | ||
S3 | 1,468.74 | -3.90 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 1,548.94 | 1.35 % | ||
R1 | 1,537.53 | 0.601 % | ||
Current price | 1,528.34 | |||
Support | S1 | 1,496.48 | -2.08% | |
S2 | 1,323.40 | -13.41% | ||
S3 | 1,237.55 | -19.03% |
FFH Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 03, 2024 | Jan 17, 2024 | Jan 25, 2024 | $19.87 | 1.49% |
2 | Jan 04, 2023 | Jan 18, 2023 | Jan 26, 2023 | $13.42 | 1.53% |
3 | Jan 05, 2021 | Jan 20, 2021 | Jan 28, 2021 | $12.73 | 2.69% |
4 | Jan 16, 2020 | Jan 16, 2020 | Jan 28, 2020 | $13.04 | 2.19% |
5 | Jan 17, 2019 | Jan 17, 2019 | Jan 28, 2019 | $13.26 | 2.15% |
FAQ
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