First Trust Morningstar Managed Futures Strategy Fund First Trust Morningstar Managed Futures Strategy Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 06, 2025 Gain 0.20%

The FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES ETF price fell by -0.462% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $48.65 to $48.43. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.765% from a day low at $48.35 to a day high of $48.72. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.24% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -473 shares and in total, 16 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $763.08 thousand.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $48.25 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $49.61 and $51.51 at the end of this 3-month period.

FMF Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $48.78 and $48.87. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, November 04, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.759%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES ETF

FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES finds support from accumulated volume at $48.35 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.370 between high and low, or 0.765%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.00%

Our recommended stop-loss: $45.58 (-5.87%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FMF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES STRATEGY FUND FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES STRATEGY FUND to open at $48.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $48.19 and $48.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.476 (+/-0.99%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES STRATEGY FUND FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES STRATEGY FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $48.35 (0.15%) than the resistance at $48.58 (0.31%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES STRATEGY FUND FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES STRATEGY FUND ETF A Buy?

FIRST TRUST MORNINGSTAR MANAGED FUTURES holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.639 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $48.50 ( 0.152%).

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