Fortum Oyj Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Fortum Oyj stock price after Monday trading.
(Updated on May 20, 2024)
The Fortum Oyj stock price fell by -0.342% on the last day (Monday, 20th May 2024) from 14.64€ to 14.59€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.34% from a day low at 14.52€ to a day high of 14.72€. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.54% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -805 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately 36.86€ million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at 14.68€ will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 15.25€ and 17.70€ at the end of this 3-month period.
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FORTUM.HE Signals & Forecast
The Fortum Oyj stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 14.10€ and 12.58€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.342%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fortum Oyj stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 11.86€ and 11.65€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Fortum Oyj finds support just below today's level at 11.86€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 11.65€ and 11.55€.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved 0.195€ between high and low, or 1.34%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.32%.
The Fortum Oyj stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: 14.12€ (-3.22%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 93 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 32 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FORTUM.HE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Fortum Oyj to open at 14.61€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 14.24€ and 14.93€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.344€ (+/-2.36%) up or down from last closing price. If Fortum Oyj takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.71% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 14.64€ (0.34%) than the support at 11.86€ (18.72%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Fortum Oyj stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Fortum Oyj stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.102 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Fortum Oyj of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
14.61€ ( 0.149%) | 14.59€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FORTUM.HE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 14.80 | 1.49 % | |
R2 | 14.73 | 0.97 % | ||
R1 | 14.68 | 0.659 % | ||
Current price: | 14.59 | |||
Support | S1 | 14.53 | -0.362 % | |
S2 | 14.49 | -0.678 % | ||
S3 | 14.41 | -1.19 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 14.64 | 0.343 % | ||
Current price | 14.59 | |||
Support | S1 | 11.86 | -18.72% | |
S2 | 11.65 | -20.16% | ||
S3 | 11.55 | -20.81% |
FORTUM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Oct 01, 2024 | Oct 01, 2024 | Oct 09, 2024 | 0.570€ | 3.91% |
2 | Mar 26, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | 0.580€ | 4.88% |
3 | Apr 14, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | 0.460€ | 3.29% |
4 | Mar 29, 2022 | Mar 29, 2022 | Mar 29, 2022 | 1.14€ | 6.75% |
5 | Apr 29, 2021 | Apr 29, 2021 | Apr 29, 2021 | 1.12€ | 5.10% |
FAQ
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