First Solar Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
First Solar stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The First Solar stock price gained 2.12% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $175.02 to $178.73. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.97% from a day low at $175.50 to a day high of $180.72. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.06% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -343 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $238.87 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 23.94% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $202.86 and $238.58 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FSLR Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.54%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The First Solar stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $176.71 and $167.65. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, March 21, 2024 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, March 21, 2024 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Solar stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $167.45 and $153.89. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, First Solar finds support just below today's level at $167.45. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $153.89 and $149.25.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $5.22 between high and low, or 2.97%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.21%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $171.43 (-4.09%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FSLR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect First Solar to open at $178.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $171.75 and $185.71, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.98 (+/-3.90%) up or down from last closing price. If First Solar takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.81% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $179.22 (0.27%) than the support at $167.45 (6.31%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
First Solar will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $2.03. We will update the financials statements for First Solar, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.71% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is First Solar stock A Buy?
First Solar holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.574 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Solar of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$178.32 ( 0.231%) | $178.73 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FSLR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 183.54 | 2.69 % | |
R2 | 181.54 | 1.57 % | ||
R1 | 180.31 | 0.88 % | ||
Current price: | 178.73 | |||
Support | S1 | 176.32 | -1.35 % | |
S2 | 175.09 | -2.04 % | ||
S3 | 173.10 | -3.15 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 185.29 | 3.67 % | |
R2 | 184.70 | 3.34 % | ||
R1 | 179.22 | 0.274 % | ||
Current price | 178.73 | |||
Support | S1 | 167.45 | -6.31% | |
S2 | 153.89 | -13.90% | ||
S3 | 149.25 | -16.49% |
FAQ
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