First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - ETF Forecast
Evaluation of First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - ETF price fell by -0.337% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from $20.78 to $20.71. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.579% from a day low at $20.71 to a day high of $20.83. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.96% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -748 shares and in total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $51.84 thousand.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $20.87 and $21.39 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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FTCB Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $20.87 and $20.72. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.19%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Wednesday, May 29, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 0.95% to $20.91 within 17 trading days since signal was issued (Monday, June 24, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - ETF
First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - finds support from accumulated volume at $20.66 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.120 between high and low, or 0.579%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.197%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FTCB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - First Trust Core Investment Grade Etf to open at $20.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $20.62 and $20.80, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0865 (+/-0.42%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - First Trust Core Investment Grade Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.84% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $20.75 (0.19%) than the support at $20.66 (0.24%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - First Trust Core Investment Grade Etf ETF A Buy?
First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.289 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust Exchange-traded Fund Iv - First Trust Core Investment Grade Etf of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $20.75 ( 0.193%) | $20.71 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FTCB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 20.87 | 0.773% |
| R2 | 20.82 | 0.551% |
| R1 | 20.80 | 0.414% |
| Price | 20.71 | |
| S1 | 20.70 | -0.0282% |
| S2 | 20.68 | -0.165% |
| S3 | 20.63 | -0.386% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 20.92 | 1.01% |
| R2 | 20.86 | 0.724% |
| R1 | 20.75 | 0.193% |
| Price | 20.71 | |
| S1 | 20.66 | -0.241% |
| S2 | 20.38 | -1.59% |
| S3 | 20.37 | -1.64% |
FAQ
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