First Trust Nasdaq Transportation Etf ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION ETF price fell by -2.23% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $35.48 to $34.69. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.41% from a day low at $34.57 to a day high of $35.41. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.09% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $125.38 thousand.

The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.24% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $35.67 and $38.04 at the end of this 3-month period.

FTXR Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $35.79 and $35.37. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -4.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, June 09, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION ETF

FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION finds support from accumulated volume at $34.67 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.83 between high and low, or 2.41%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.33%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FTXR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION ETF to open at $34.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $34.42 and $34.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.547 (+/-1.59%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $34.67 (0.06%) than the resistance at $35.04 (1.01%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION ETF ETF A Buy?

The FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe FIRST TRUST NASDAQ TRANSPORTATION will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.081 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $34.89 ( 0.567%).

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