First Trust Utilities Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 05, 2025 Gain 1.43%

The First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund ETF price gained 0.472% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $46.60 to $46.82. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.98% from a day low at $46.64 to a day high of $47.10. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -122 thousand shares and in total, 256 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.00 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 7.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $49.32 and $52.10 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXU Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 15, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.14%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $46.73 and $46.48. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, September 22, 2025 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $45.91 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.456 between high and low, or 0.98%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.86%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $45.21 (-3.45%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 23 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXU) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund to open at $46.85, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $46.57 and $47.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.494 (+/-1.06%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $46.90 (0.17%) than the support at $45.91 (1.94%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.334 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $46.85 ( 0.0671%).

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