0% commission for ETF tradesGolub Capital BDC Stock Forecast
AI Analysis of GBDC
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Golub Capital BDC stock price up 1.48% on Friday
(Updated on Sep 13, 2024)
The Golub Capital BDC stock price gained 1.48% on the last trading day (Friday, 13th Sep 2024), rising from $14.87 to $15.09. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.21% from a day low at $14.91 to a day high of $15.09. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 270 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $19.40 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $12.82 and $13.93 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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GBDC Signals & Forecast
The Golub Capital BDC stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $14.82 and $14.84. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, August 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.08%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Golub Capital BDC stock
Golub Capital BDC finds support from accumulated volume at $14.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.180 between high and low, or 1.21%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.43%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $14.50 (-3.92%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 45 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GBDC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 16th we expect Golub Capital BDC to open at $15.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.87 and $15.31, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.217 (+/-1.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Golub Capital BDC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.88% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $14.99 (0.66%) than the resistance at $15.45 (2.39%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Golub Capital BDC stock A Buy?
Golub Capital BDC holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
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Current score: 0.884 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Golub Capital BDC of Monday, September 16, 2024
| Fair opening price September 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $15.03 ( 0.398%) | $15.09 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GBDC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 15.21 | 0.795% |
| R2 | 15.14 | 0.340% |
| R1 | 15.10 | 0.0581% |
| Price | 15.09 | |
| S1 | 14.96 | -0.85% |
| S2 | 14.92 | -1.13% |
| S3 | 14.85 | -1.59% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 15.74 | 4.31% |
| R2 | 15.52 | 2.85% |
| R1 | 15.45 | 2.39% |
| Price | 15.09 | |
| S1 | 14.99 | -0.663% |
| S2 | 14.73 | -2.39% |
| S3 | 14.63 | -3.05% |
GBDC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 29, 2024 | Nov 29, 2024 | Dec 13, 2024 | $0.0500 | 0.332% |
| 2 | Aug 02, 2024 | Aug 30, 2024 | Sep 27, 2024 | $0.390 | 2.59% |
| 3 | Aug 16, 2024 | Aug 16, 2024 | Sep 13, 2024 | $0.0500 | 0.332% |
| 4 | Jun 02, 2024 | Jun 13, 2024 | Jun 27, 2024 | $0.0500 | 0.317% |
| 5 | May 03, 2024 | May 15, 2024 | Jun 14, 2024 | $0.0600 | 0.383% |
FAQ
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