- 11.63% TTM dividend yield
- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Strong operating margin of 57.1%
Golub Capital BDC stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 03, 2026)
The Golub Capital BDC stock price fell by -2.79% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $13.27 to $12.90. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.82% from a day low at $12.78 to a day high of $13.14. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.94% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 293 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $14.91 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.99 and $15.38 at the end of this 3-month period.
GBDC Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Golub Capital BDC stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $13.14 and $13.24. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -6.52%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Golub Capital BDC stock
Golub Capital BDC finds support from accumulated volume at $12.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.360 between high and low, or 2.82%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.84%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GBDC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect Golub Capital BDC to open at $12.94, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.77 and $13.03, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.259 (+/-2.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Golub Capital BDC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $13.09 (1.47%) than the support at $12.46 (3.41%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Dividend Warning For GBDC
Dividend coming up for GBDC: Ex-dividend date (Monday 15th June, 2026) is 11 days away. The dividend is $0.330.Is Golub Capital BDC stock A Buy?
The Golub Capital BDC stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Golub Capital BDC will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.588
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $12.94 ( 0.310%).
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GBDC Performance
Trading levels for GBDC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 13.30 | 3.10% |
| R2 | 13.16 | 2.03% |
| R1 | 13.08 | 1.38% |
| Price | 12.90 | |
| S1 | 12.80 | -0.756% |
| S2 | 12.72 | -1.41% |
| S3 | 12.58 | -2.48% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 13.40 | 3.88% |
| R2 | 13.16 | 2.02% |
| R1 | 13.09 | 1.47% |
| Price | 12.90 | |
| S1 | 12.46 | -3.41% |
| S2 | 12.13 | -5.97% |
| S3 | 11.97 | -7.21% |
GBDC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 29, 2026 | $0.330 | 2.46% |
| 2 | Feb 02, 2026 | Mar 13, 2026 | Mar 30, 2026 | $0.330 | 2.63% |
| 3 | Nov 14, 2025 | Dec 12, 2025 | Dec 30, 2025 | $0.390 | 2.88% |
| 4 | Aug 01, 2025 | Sep 15, 2025 | Sep 29, 2025 | $0.390 | 2.63% |
| 5 | May 02, 2025 | Jun 13, 2025 | Jun 27, 2025 | $0.390 | 2.57% |
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