VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Thursday for VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF price gained 0.319% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from $40.78 to $40.91. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.59% from a day low at $40.19 to a day high of $41.23. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.8% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -4 million shares and in total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $206.42 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $40.18 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 36.09% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $54.68 and $62.46 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GDXJ Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $41.45. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $39.94. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF
VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners finds support from accumulated volume at $40.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.04 between high and low, or 2.59%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.89%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $39.25 (-4.06%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 15 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GDXJ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF to open at $40.78, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $39.60 and $42.22, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.31 (+/-3.21%) up or down from last closing price. If VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $41.55 (1.56%) than the support at $40.20 (1.74%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF ETF A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score: 3.678 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $40.78 ( 0.326%) | $40.91 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GDXJ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 41.82 | 2.22 % | |
| R2 | 41.42 | 1.25 % | ||
| R1 | 41.17 | 0.645 % | ||
| Current price: | 40.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 40.38 | -1.30 % | |
| S2 | 40.13 | -1.90 % | ||
| S3 | 39.74 | -2.87 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 41.99 | 2.64 % | |
| R2 | 41.88 | 2.37 % | ||
| R1 | 41.55 | 1.56 % | ||
| Current price | 40.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 40.20 | -1.74% | |
| S2 | 34.75 | -15.06% | ||
| S3 | 31.12 | -23.93% |
GDXJ Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.274 | 0.733% |
| 2 | Dec 16, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | $0.183 | 0.507% |
| 3 | Dec 17, 2021 | Dec 20, 2021 | Dec 27, 2021 | $0.745 | 1.79% |
| 4 | Jan 14, 2020 | Dec 21, 2020 | Dec 28, 2020 | $0.86 | 1.61% |
| 5 | Jan 16, 2019 | Dec 23, 2019 | Dec 30, 2019 | $0.164 | 0.387% |
FAQ
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