Gulf Island Fabrication Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Gulf Island Fabrication stock price down 0.435% on Wednesday
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Gulf Island Fabrication stock price fell by -0.435% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from $6.90 to $6.87. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 9.85% from a day low at $6.60 to a day high of $7.25. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 7.51% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 21 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 79 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $541.21 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $6.72 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 52.23% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.22 and $13.68 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GIFI Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Gulf Island Fabrication stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $6.92 and $6.94. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 26, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.01%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Gulf Island Fabrication gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Gulf Island Fabrication stock
Gulf Island Fabrication finds support from accumulated volume at $6.83 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.650 between high and low, or 9.85%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.74%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GIFI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Gulf Island Fabrication to open at $6.91, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.47 and $7.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.401 (+/-5.83%) up or down from last closing price. If Gulf Island Fabrication takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $6.83 (0.58%) than the resistance at $6.94 (1.02%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Gulf Island Fabrication stock A Buy?
The Gulf Island Fabrication stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Gulf Island Fabrication will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -4.997 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Gulf Island Fabrication of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $6.91 ( 0.534%) | $6.87 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GIFI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 7.56 | 10.00 % | |
| R2 | 7.31 | 6.38 % | ||
| R1 | 7.15 | 4.15 % | ||
| Current price: | 6.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.66 | -3.08 % | |
| S2 | 6.50 | -5.31 % | ||
| S3 | 6.26 | -8.93 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 7.50 | 9.17 % | |
| R2 | 7.00 | 1.89 % | ||
| R1 | 6.94 | 1.02 % | ||
| Current price | 6.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.83 | -0.582% | |
| S2 | 6.56 | -4.51% | ||
| S3 | 6.52 | -5.09% |
GIFI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 26, 2017 | Nov 09, 2017 | Nov 24, 2017 | $0.0100 | 0.0778% |
| 2 | Jul 31, 2017 | Aug 08, 2017 | Aug 24, 2017 | $0.0100 | 0.0922% |
| 3 | Apr 26, 2017 | May 09, 2017 | May 25, 2017 | $0.0100 | 0.110% |
| 4 | Feb 25, 2017 | Mar 08, 2017 | Mar 24, 2017 | $0.0100 | 0.0976% |
| 5 | Oct 27, 2016 | Nov 08, 2016 | Nov 23, 2016 | $0.0100 | 0.0939% |
FAQ
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