Great Southern Bancorp Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Great Southern Bancorp stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 29, 2024)
The Great Southern Bancorp stock price fell by -1.33% on the last day (Monday, 29th Apr 2024) from $52.71 to $52.01. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.08% from a day low at $51.93 to a day high of $52.49. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.85% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -14 thousand shares and in total, 13 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $670.41 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $51.26 and $56.32 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GSBC Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Great Southern Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $52.90 and $52.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.13%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Great Southern Bancorp stock
Great Southern Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $51.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.560 between high and low, or 1.08%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.66%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $49.35 (-5.12%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GSBC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect Great Southern Bancorp to open at $52.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.82 and $53.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.19 (+/-2.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Great Southern Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $52.05 (0.08%) than the support at $51.59 (0.81%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Great Southern Bancorp stock A Buy?
Great Southern Bancorp holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.992 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Great Southern Bancorp of Tuesday, April 30, 2024
| Fair opening price April 30, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $52.14 ( 0.256%) | $52.01 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GSBC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 52.70 | 1.33 % | |
| R2 | 52.49 | 0.92 % | ||
| R1 | 52.36 | 0.668 % | ||
| Current price: | 52.01 | |||
| Support | S1 | 51.93 | -0.155 % | |
| S2 | 51.80 | -0.409 % | ||
| S3 | 51.58 | -0.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 54.82 | 5.40 % | |
| R2 | 52.45 | 0.85 % | ||
| R1 | 52.05 | 0.0769 % | ||
| Current price | 52.01 | |||
| Support | S1 | 51.59 | -0.81% | |
| S2 | 50.91 | -2.11% | ||
| S3 | 50.78 | -2.36% |
GSBC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | $0 | 0% |
| 2 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | Jan 17, 2024 | $0.400 | 0.723% |
| 3 | Sep 20, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | Oct 17, 2023 | $0.400 | 0.81% |
| 4 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | Jul 18, 2023 | $0.400 | 0.707% |
| 5 | Mar 15, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Apr 11, 2023 | $0.400 | 0.793% |
FAQ
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