Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A Stock Forecast
Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A stock price up 1.96% on Friday
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A stock price gained 1.96% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $56.70 to $57.81. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.38% from a day low at $56.48 to a day high of $58.39. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -2.89% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -103 thousand shares and in total, 289 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $16.72 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $55.20 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -25.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $40.95 and $54.85 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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GSHD Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.41%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $67.86. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $57.37. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A stock
Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A finds support from accumulated volume at $56.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.91 between high and low, or 3.38%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.37%.
Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A is oversold on RSI14 (16). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GSHD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A to open at $57.56, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $55.06 and $60.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.75 (+/-4.76%) up or down from last closing price. If Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $56.90 (1.57%) than the resistance at $62.94 (8.87%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, April 24, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.220. We will update the financials statements for Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.70% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A stock A Buy?
Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.006 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $57.56 ( 0.432%) | $57.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GSHD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 59.47 | 2.87 % | |
| R2 | 58.74 | 1.61 % | ||
| R1 | 58.29 | 0.83 % | ||
| Current price: | 57.81 | |||
| Support | S1 | 56.83 | -1.69 % | |
| S2 | 56.38 | -2.47 % | ||
| S3 | 55.65 | -3.74 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 71.67 | 23.98 % | |
| R2 | 64.99 | 12.42 % | ||
| R1 | 62.94 | 8.87 % | ||
| Current price | 57.81 | |||
| Support | S1 | 56.90 | -1.57% | |
| S2 | 56.70 | -1.92% | ||
| S3 | 56.50 | -2.27% |
GSHD Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 28, 2021 | Aug 06, 2021 | Aug 23, 2021 | $1.63 | 1.18% |
| 2 | Jul 30, 2020 | Aug 07, 2020 | Aug 24, 2020 | $1.15 | 1.21% |
| 3 | Mar 07, 2019 | Mar 15, 2019 | Apr 01, 2019 | $0.410 | 1.49% |
FAQ
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