Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap ETF price gained 1.13% on the last trading day (Monday, 6th May 2024), rising from $100.82 to $101.96. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.691% from a day low at $101.26 to a day high of $101.96. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.13% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -32 thousand shares and in total, 182 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $18.60 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $99.04 and $105.24 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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GSLC Signals & Forecast
The Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $100.18 and $101.35. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.99%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap ETF
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap finds support from accumulated volume at $100.47 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.700 between high and low, or 0.691%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.15%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $97.33 (-4.54%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GSLC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF to open at $101.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $100.76 and $103.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.20 (+/-1.18%) up or down from last closing price. If Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $102.66 (0.69%) than the support at $100.47 (1.46%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF ETF A Buy?
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.685 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$101.73 ( 0.229%) | $101.96 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GSLC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 102.43 | 0.458 % | |
R2 | 102.16 | 0.195 % | ||
R1 | 101.99 | 0.0334 % | ||
Current price: | 101.96 | |||
Support | S1 | 101.46 | -0.491 % | |
S2 | 101.29 | -0.653 % | ||
S3 | 101.03 | -0.92 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 102.94 | 0.96 % | |
R2 | 102.72 | 0.745 % | ||
R1 | 102.66 | 0.687 % | ||
Current price | 101.96 | |||
Support | S1 | 100.47 | -1.46% | |
S2 | 99.51 | -2.40% | ||
S3 | 98.87 | -3.03% |
GSLC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 07, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.305 | 0.294% |
2 | Dec 26, 2023 | Dec 26, 2023 | Dec 26, 2023 | $0.406 | 0.433% |
3 | Mar 10, 2023 | Sep 25, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.274 | 0.326% |
4 | Mar 10, 2023 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.334 | 0.383% |
5 | Mar 10, 2023 | Mar 27, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.282 | 0.347% |
FAQ
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