Granite Construction Incorporated Stock Forecast
Granite Construction Incorporated stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Granite Construction Incorporated stock price gained 1.41% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $54.76 to $55.53. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.53% from a day low at $54.85 to a day high of $55.69. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.34% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -18 thousand shares and in total, 161 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.96 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $54.18 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 21.35% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $65.75 and $74.02 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GVA Signals & Forecast
The Granite Construction Incorporated stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $54.33 and $55.11. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.19%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Granite Construction Incorporated stock
Granite Construction Incorporated finds support from accumulated volume at $54.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.84 (1.53%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.18%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $53.45 (-3.74%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 21 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GVA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Granite Construction Incorporated to open at $55.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $54.24 and $56.82, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.29 (+/-2.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Granite Construction Incorporated takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $55.90 (0.67%) than the support at $54.44 (1.96%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Granite Construction Incorporated will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.490. We will update the financials statements for Granite Construction Incorporated, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 8.16% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Granite Construction Incorporated stock A Buy?
Granite Construction Incorporated holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.148 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Granite Construction Incorporated of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$55.36 ( 0.312%) | $55.53 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GVA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 56.20 | 1.20 % | |
R2 | 55.88 | 0.623 % | ||
R1 | 55.68 | 0.266 % | ||
Current price: | 55.53 | |||
Support | S1 | 55.04 | -0.89 % | |
S2 | 54.84 | -1.25 % | ||
S3 | 54.52 | -1.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 56.78 | 2.25 % | |
R2 | 56.30 | 1.39 % | ||
R1 | 55.90 | 0.666 % | ||
Current price | 55.53 | |||
Support | S1 | 54.44 | -1.96% | |
S2 | 50.17 | -9.65% | ||
S3 | 49.51 | -10.84% |
GVA Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 12, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.130 | 0.238% |
2 | Dec 13, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 12, 2024 | $0.130 | 0.277% |
3 | Sep 13, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 13, 2023 | $0.130 | 0.357% |
4 | Jun 08, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jul 14, 2023 | $0.130 | 0.320% |
5 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | $0.130 | 0.337% |
FAQ
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