Global Value Fund Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Global Value Fund Limited stock price ended at $1.25 on Thursday, after losing 0.400%.
(Updated on Jun 27, 2024)
The Global Value Fund Limited stock price fell by -0.400% on the last day (Thursday, 27th Jun 2024) from $1.25 to $1.25. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.403% from a day low at $1.24 to a day high of $1.25. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.06% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 85 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $105.43 thousand.
The stock lies in the upper part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $1.25 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.69% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.28 and $1.33 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GVF.AX Signals & Forecast
The Global Value Fund Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $1.23 and $1.20. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 26, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.400%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Global Value Fund Limited gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Global Value Fund Limited stock
Global Value Fund Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $1.19 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0050 between high and low, or 0.403%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.72%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1.21 (-2.78%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GVF.AX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 28th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 28th we expect Global Value Fund Limited to open at $1.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.23 and $1.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0161 (+/-1.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Global Value Fund Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $1.25 (0.40%) than the support at $1.19 (4.42%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Global Value Fund Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Global Value Fund Limited stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.570 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Global Value Fund Limited of Friday, June 28, 2024
| Fair opening price June 28, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $1.24 ( 0.134%) | $1.25 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GVF.AX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1.25 | 0.268% |
| R2 | 1.25 | 0.114% |
| R1 | 1.25 | 0.0195% |
| Price | 1.25 | |
| S1 | 1.24 | -0.287% |
| S2 | 1.24 | -0.382% |
| S3 | 1.24 | -0.535% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 1.25 | 0.402% |
| Price | 1.25 | |
| S1 | 1.19 | -4.42% |
| S2 | 1.19 | -4.82% |
| S3 | 1.18 | -5.62% |
GVF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 17, 2024 | Jul 17, 2024 | Aug 19, 2024 | $0.0100 | 0.80% |
| 2 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | May 15, 2024 | $0.0330 | 2.77% |
| 3 | Sep 29, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.0330 | 2.97% |
| 4 | Mar 31, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.0330 | 2.87% |
| 5 | Sep 30, 2022 | Sep 30, 2022 | Sep 30, 2022 | $0.0330 | 2.80% |
FAQ
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