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Weaker technical forecast for FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 23, 2026)
The FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY ETF price fell by -0.248% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $37.21 to $37.12. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.155% from a day low at $37.12 to a day high of $37.18. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.87% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 199 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 233 shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.65 thousand.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $36.52 and $38.59 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
HDMV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 05, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $37.41 and $37.39. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, December 19, 2025 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, December 19, 2025 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY ETF
FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY finds support from accumulated volume at $37.02 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0574 between high and low, or 0.155%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.379%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HDMV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF to open at $37.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $36.99 and $37.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.273 (+/-0.74%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $37.02 (0.26%) than the resistance at $38.23 (2.98%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DEVELOPED INTERNATIONAL ETF ETF A Buy?
FIRST TRUST HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.415
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $37.14 ( 0.0515%).
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HDMV Performance
Trading levels for HDMV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 37.20 | 0.206% |
| R2 | 37.18 | 0.147% |
| R1 | 37.16 | 0.111% |
| Price | 37.12 | |
| S1 | 37.12 | -0.0075% |
| S2 | 37.11 | -0.0440% |
| S3 | 37.08 | -0.103% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 38.44 | 3.55% |
| R2 | 38.25 | 3.03% |
| R1 | 38.23 | 2.98% |
| Price | 37.12 | |
| S1 | 37.02 | -0.264% |
| S2 | 36.13 | -2.67% |
| S3 | 35.88 | -3.36% |
HDMV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 12, 2025 | Dec 12, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $0.424 | 1.22% |
| 2 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.565 | 1.65% |
| 3 | Jun 26, 2025 | Jun 26, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $0.742 | 2.13% |
| 4 | Jan 03, 2025 | Mar 27, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | $0.0667 | 0.208% |
| 5 | Jan 05, 2024 | Dec 13, 2024 | Dec 31, 2024 | $0.102 | 0.356% |
FAQ
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