Hudson Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Green day on Friday for Hudson
(Updated on Sep 13, 2024)
The Hudson stock price gained 1.40% on the last trading day (Friday, 13th Sep 2024), rising from $7.84 to $7.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.25% from a day low at $7.86 to a day high of $8.11. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.97% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 80 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 363 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.89 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $8.07 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $6.18 and $7.08 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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HDSN Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Hudson stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $8.07. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $7.87. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, August 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.56%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Hudson stock
Hudson finds support from accumulated volume at $7.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.255 (3.25%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.69%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HDSN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 16th we expect Hudson Technologies to open at $7.97, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $7.65 and $8.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.300 (+/-3.77%) up or down from last closing price. If Hudson Technologies takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $7.98 (0.38%) than the support at $7.90 (0.63%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Hudson Technologies stock A Buy?
Hudson holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
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Current score: -2.879 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Hudson Technologies of Monday, September 16, 2024
Fair opening price September 16, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$7.97 ( 0.273%) | $7.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HDSN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 8.23 | 3.48% |
R2 | 8.13 | 2.25% |
R1 | 8.07 | 1.50% |
Price | 7.95 | |
S1 | 7.87 | -0.95% |
S2 | 7.81 | -1.71% |
S3 | 7.72 | -2.94% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 8.75 | 10.06% |
R2 | 8.05 | 1.26% |
R1 | 7.98 | 0.377% |
Price | 7.95 | |
S1 | 7.90 | -0.629% |
S2 | 7.54 | -5.16% |
S3 | 7.47 | -6.04% |
FAQ
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