- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.32)
- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
Weaker technical forecast for iShares Core High Dividend as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jul 14, 2026)
The iShares Core High Dividend ETF price fell by -1.04% on the last day (Tuesday, 14th Jul 2026) from $27.93 to $27.64. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.14% from a day low at $27.64 to a day high of $27.95. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.18% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $115.58 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 3.45% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $28.18 and $29.46 at the end of this 3-month period.
HDV Signals & Forecast
The iShares Core High Dividend ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $27.78. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $27.52. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 07, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.60%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares Core High Dividend ETF
iShares Core High Dividend finds support from accumulated volume at $27.58 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.314 between high and low, or 1.14%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.92%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $26.70 (-3.40%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HDV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 15th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 15th we expect iShares Core High Dividend ETF to open at $27.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $27.47 and $27.81, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.335 (+/-1.22%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares Core High Dividend ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.22% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $27.70 (0.22%) than the support at $27.58 (0.22%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is iShares Core High Dividend ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares Core High Dividend holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.342
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 15, 2026 - $27.74 ( 0.366%).
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HDV Performance
Trading levels for HDV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 28.06 | 1.50% |
| R2 | 27.94 | 1.07% |
| R1 | 27.86 | 0.80% |
| Price | 27.64 | |
| S1 | 27.62 | -0.0673% |
| S2 | 27.55 | -0.335% |
| S3 | 27.43 | -0.769% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 28.04 | 1.45% |
| R2 | 27.85 | 0.760% |
| R1 | 27.70 | 0.217% |
| Price | 27.64 | |
| S1 | 27.58 | -0.217% |
| S2 | 27.41 | -0.83% |
| S3 | 27.11 | -1.92% |
HDV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 18, 2026 | $0.185 | 0.675% |
| 2 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 20, 2026 | $0.84 | 0.633% |
| 3 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 19, 2025 | $1.25 | 1.03% |
| 4 | Sep 16, 2025 | Sep 16, 2025 | Sep 19, 2025 | $0.95 | 0.783% |
| 5 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | $0.91 | 0.783% |
FAQ
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Buy HDV
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Thursday, June 18, 2026 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 1.28% to $27.99 within 13 trading days (Thursday, July 09, 2026) since signal was issued.