Hindalco Industries Limited Stock Forecast
Hindalco Industries Limited stock price ended at ₹647.05 on Friday, after gaining 0.88%.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Hindalco Industries Limited stock price gained 0.88% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from ₹641.40 to ₹647.05. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.73% from a day low at ₹638.50 to a day high of ₹655.95. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.59% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -14 thousand shares and in total, 142 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹91.69 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at ₹655.85 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 19.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹689.20 and ₹784.07 at the end of this 3-month period.
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HINDALCO.BO Signals & Forecast
The Hindalco Industries Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹644.99 and ₹581.18. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.484%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, June 29, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, June 29, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Hindalco Industries Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹569.90 and ₹511.90. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Hindalco Industries Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹569.90. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹511.90 and ₹509.95.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ₹17.45 between high and low, or 2.73%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.47%.
The Hindalco Industries Limited stock is overbought on RSI14 and the RSI has been falling for the last couple of days. This together with the fact that the stock is in the upper part of the trend poses a possible good selling opportunity for the short-term trader. However, one should note that some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹627.22 (-3.06%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 80 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HINDALCO.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Hindalco Industries Limited to open at ₹647.17, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹630.66 and ₹663.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹16.39 (+/-2.53%) up or down from last closing price. If Hindalco Industries Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹649.55 (0.39%) than the support at ₹569.90 (11.92%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Hindalco Industries Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Hindalco Industries Limited stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 1.945 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Hindalco Industries Limited of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹647.17 ( 0.0180%) | ₹647.05 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HINDALCO.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 664.62 | 2.71 % | |
R2 | 657.95 | 1.68 % | ||
R1 | 653.83 | 1.05 % | ||
Current price: | 647.05 | |||
Support | S1 | 640.50 | -1.01 % | |
S2 | 636.38 | -1.65 % | ||
S3 | 629.72 | -2.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 650.20 | 0.487 % | ||
R1 | 649.55 | 0.386 % | ||
Current price | 647.05 | |||
Support | S1 | 569.90 | -11.92% | |
S2 | 511.90 | -20.89% | ||
S3 | 509.95 | -21.19% |
HINDALCO Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aug 14, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | ₹3.00 | 0.626% |
2 | Aug 11, 2022 | Aug 11, 2022 | Sep 22, 2022 | ₹4.00 | 0.97% |
3 | Sep 05, 2017 | Sep 05, 2017 | Sep 18, 2017 | ₹1.10 | 0.442% |
4 | Sep 06, 2016 | Sep 06, 2016 | Sep 06, 2016 | ₹1.00 | 0.631% |
5 | Sep 07, 2015 | Sep 07, 2015 | Sep 07, 2015 | ₹1.00 | 1.40% |
FAQ
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