Hkd/usd Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 11, 2025 Loss -0.03%

The HKD/USD currency pair price fell by -0.0155% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $0.129 to $0.129. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.0855% from a day low at $0.129 to a day high of $0.129. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.02% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 23 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.92 thousand.

The currency pair is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect HKD/USD currency pair with a 90% probability to be traded between $0.129 and $0.130 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and currency pair seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Currency pair turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

HKDUSD Signals & Forecast

The HKD/USD currency pair holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the currency pair giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $0.129. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $0.129. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 27, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.0777%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). HKD/USD gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, August 14, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for HKD/USD currency pair

HKD/USD finds support from accumulated volume at $0.129 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.0001 between high and low, or 0.0855%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.0700%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $0.124 (-3.61%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 15 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (HKDUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect HKD/USD to open at $0.129, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.129 and $0.129, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.00008346841423 (+/-0.06%) up or down from last closing price. If HKD/USD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $0.129 (0.02%) than the support at $0.129 (0.03%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is HKD/USD currency pair A Buy?

HKD/USD holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.282 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $0.129 ( 0.0026%).

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