Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 10, 2024)
The Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S stock price fell by -1.22% on the last day (Friday, 10th May 2024) from TRY 3.27 to TRY 3.23. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.41% from a day low at TRY 3.23 to a day high of TRY 3.34. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 3.19% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -825 thousand shares and in total, 38 million shares were bought and sold for approximately TRY 124.11 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at TRY 3.41 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.75% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between TRY 2.24 and TRY 3.04 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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HLGYO.IS Signals & Forecast
The Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately TRY 3.32. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately TRY 3.04. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.10%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S stock
Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S finds support from accumulated volume at TRY 3.13 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved TRY 0.110 between high and low, or 3.41%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.40%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HLGYO.IS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S to open at TRY 3.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between TRY 3.09 and TRY 3.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-TRY 0.137 (+/-4.24%) up or down from last closing price. If Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at TRY 3.27 (1.24%) than the support at TRY 3.13 (3.10%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S stock A Buy?
Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.055 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S of Monday, May 13, 2024
| Fair opening price May 13, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| TRY 3.27 ( 1.14%) | TRY 3.23 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HLGYO.IS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.38 | 4.54 % | |
| R2 | 3.33 | 3.24 % | ||
| R1 | 3.31 | 2.44 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.22 | -0.166 % | |
| S2 | 3.20 | -0.97 % | ||
| S3 | 3.16 | -2.27 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.33 | 3.10 % | |
| R2 | 3.30 | 2.17 % | ||
| R1 | 3.27 | 1.24 % | ||
| Current price | 3.23 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.13 | -3.10% | |
| S2 | 2.93 | -9.29% | ||
| S3 | 2.91 | -9.91% |
FAQ
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