HMN Financial Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
HMN Financial stock price up 2.00% on Thursday
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The HMN Financial stock price gained 2.00% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from $19.50 to $19.89. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.53% from a day low at $19.40 to a day high of $19.89. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.04% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -94 shares and in total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $25.36 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.85% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $16.98 and $19.47 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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HMNF Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The HMN Financial stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $20.31. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $19.68. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.14%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for HMN Financial stock
HMN Financial finds support from accumulated volume at $19.88 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.490 between high and low, or 2.53%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.90%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HMNF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect HMN Financial to open at $19.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.51 and $20.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.384 (+/-1.93%) up or down from last closing price. If HMN Financial takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.86% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.88 (0.05%) than the resistance at $20.40 (2.56%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is HMN Financial stock A Buy?
HMN Financial holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.855 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for HMN Financial of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $19.73 ( 0.82%) | $19.89 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HMNF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 20.22 | 1.64 % | |
| R2 | 20.03 | 0.701 % | ||
| R1 | 19.91 | 0.120 % | ||
| Current price: | 19.89 | |||
| Support | S1 | 19.54 | -1.76 % | |
| S2 | 19.42 | -2.34 % | ||
| S3 | 19.24 | -3.28 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 21.10 | 6.08 % | |
| R2 | 20.70 | 4.07 % | ||
| R1 | 20.40 | 2.56 % | ||
| Current price | 19.89 | |||
| Support | S1 | 19.88 | -0.0503% | |
| S2 | 19.85 | -0.201% | ||
| S3 | 19.81 | -0.402% |
HMNF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 25, 2024 | Feb 12, 2024 | Mar 06, 2024 | $0.0800 | 0.391% |
| 2 | Oct 25, 2023 | Nov 15, 2023 | Dec 07, 2023 | $0.0800 | 0.406% |
| 3 | Jul 25, 2023 | Aug 15, 2023 | Sep 07, 2023 | $0.0800 | 0.419% |
| 4 | Apr 25, 2023 | May 16, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | $0.0800 | 0.427% |
| 5 | Jan 24, 2023 | Feb 14, 2023 | Mar 08, 2023 | $0.0600 | 0.275% |
FAQ
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