BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
A very red day for BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged ETF price after a -12.43% fall in the Friday trading session
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged ETF price fell by -12.43% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from $74.00 to $64.80. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 6.11% from a day low at $64.17 to a day high of $68.09. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -27.8% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 463 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 463 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $29.99 million.
The ETF has broken the very wide and falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($69.18) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $27.90 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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HND.TO Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $75.70 and $98.30. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -46.48%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This ETF may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $3.92 between high and low, or 6.11%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 5.62%.
BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $61.22 (-5.52%) (This ETF has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. Low RSI14 is 24 which reduces the risk some. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 36 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HND.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged Daily Bear ETF to open at $65.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $57.57 and $72.03, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.23 (+/-11.16%) up or down from last closing price. If BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged Daily Bear ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 22.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $74.00, some $9.20 (14.20%) from the current price of $64.80, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged Daily Bear ETF ETF A Buy?
BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for BetaPro Natural Gas Inverse Leveraged Daily Bear ETF of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
| Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $65.69 ( 1.37%) | $64.80 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HND.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 69.61 | 7.42 % | |
| R2 | 68.11 | 5.11 % | ||
| R1 | 67.18 | 3.68 % | ||
| Current price: | 64.80 | |||
| Support | S1 | 64.19 | -0.94 % | |
| S2 | 63.26 | -2.37 % | ||
| S3 | 61.77 | -4.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 79.25 | 22.30 % | |
| R2 | 77.20 | 19.14 % | ||
| R1 | 74.00 | 14.20 % | ||
| Current price | 64.80 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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