- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.33)
- 4.67% TTM dividend yield
Evaluation of Hormel Foods Corporation stock downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The Hormel Foods Corporation stock price fell by -1.42% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $25.37 to $25.01. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.08% from a day low at $25.00 to a day high of $25.27. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.52% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $47.21 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $24.86 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 26.29% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $31.40 and $36.45 at the end of this 3-month period.
HRL Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Hormel Foods Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $25.44 and $25.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.62%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Hormel Foods Corporation stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $23.59 and $23.35. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Hormel Foods Corporation finds support just below today's level at $23.59. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $23.35 and $23.23.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.270 (1.08%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.60%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HRL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Hormel Foods Corporation to open at $25.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $24.69 and $25.33, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.641 (+/-2.60%) up or down from last closing price. If Hormel Foods Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $25.30 (1.16%) than the support at $23.59 (5.68%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Hormel Foods Corporation stock A Buy?
The Hormel Foods Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Hormel Foods Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-4.543
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $25.09 ( 0.333%).
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HRL Performance
Trading levels for HRL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25.36 | 1.41% |
| R2 | 25.26 | 1.00% |
| R1 | 25.20 | 0.746% |
| Price | 25.01 | |
| S1 | 24.99 | -0.0792% |
| S2 | 24.93 | -0.334% |
| S3 | 24.82 | -0.746% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25.56 | 2.20% |
| R2 | 25.55 | 2.16% |
| R1 | 25.30 | 1.16% |
| Price | 25.01 | |
| S1 | 23.59 | -5.68% |
| S2 | 23.35 | -6.64% |
| S3 | 23.23 | -7.12% |
HRL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 13, 2026 | Jul 13, 2026 | Aug 17, 2026 | $0.293 | 1.39% |
| 2 | Apr 13, 2026 | Apr 13, 2026 | May 15, 2026 | $0.293 | 1.27% |
| 3 | Nov 24, 2025 | Jan 12, 2026 | Feb 17, 2026 | $0.293 | 1.26% |
| 4 | Oct 14, 2025 | Oct 14, 2025 | Nov 17, 2025 | $0.290 | 1.19% |
| 5 | Jul 14, 2025 | Jul 14, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | $0.290 | 0.96% |
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