- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 8/9)
- Beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
- Strong operating margin of 34.6%
Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Jun 22, 2026)
The Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc stock price gained 2.23% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026), rising from $23.27 to $23.79. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.60% from a day low at $23.04 to a day high of $24.79. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.36% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -16 thousand shares and in total, 483 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $11.48 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -19.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $15.83 and $21.37 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
HRTG Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $22.91 and $23.32. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 03, 2026, and so far it has risen 13.94%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc stock
Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $23.27 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.75 between high and low, or 7.60%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.43%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $23.07 (-3.02%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HRTG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc to open at $23.87, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.33 and $24.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.92 (+/-3.96%) up or down from last closing price. If Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $23.99 (0.84%) than the support at $23.27 (2.19%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
4.037
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $23.87 ( 0.350%).
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HRTG Performance
Trading levels for HRTG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25.62 | 7.71% |
| R2 | 24.95 | 4.90% |
| R1 | 24.54 | 3.16% |
| Price | 23.79 | |
| S1 | 23.20 | -2.46% |
| S2 | 22.79 | -4.20% |
| S3 | 22.12 | -7.01% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29.27 | 23.03% |
| R2 | 27.06 | 13.75% |
| R1 | 23.99 | 0.84% |
| Price | 23.79 | |
| S1 | 23.27 | -2.19% |
| S2 | 22.41 | -5.80% |
| S3 | 22.18 | -6.77% |
HRTG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 05, 2022 | Jun 13, 2022 | Jul 05, 2022 | $0.0600 | 2.30% |
| 2 | Mar 07, 2022 | Mar 16, 2022 | Apr 06, 2022 | $0.0600 | 0.94% |
| 3 | Nov 04, 2021 | Dec 14, 2021 | Jan 06, 2022 | $0.0600 | 0.93% |
| 4 | Aug 05, 2021 | Sep 14, 2021 | Oct 06, 2021 | $0.0600 | 0.85% |
| 5 | May 05, 2021 | Jun 14, 2021 | Jul 06, 2021 | $0.0600 | 0.701% |
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