International Business Machines Corp Stock Forecast
International Business Machines Corp stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session.
(Updated on May 27, 2024)
The International Business Machines Corp stock price gained 1.21% on the last trading day (Monday, 27th May 2024), rising from 156.92€ to 158.82€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.78% from a day low at 156.48€ to a day high of 159.26€. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -983 shares and in total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 170.10€ thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at 161.44€ will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 123.77€ and 137.71€ at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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IBM.F Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.82%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The International Business Machines Corp stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at 162.17€. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at 158.09€. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for International Business Machines Corp stock
International Business Machines Corp finds support from accumulated volume at 156.56€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved 2.78€ between high and low, or 1.78%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.74%
Our recommended stop-loss: 153.48€ (-3.36%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 51 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (IBM.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 28th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 28th we expect International Business Machines Corporation to open at 158.19€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 156.36€ and 161.28€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-2.46€ (+/-1.55%) up or down from last closing price. If International Business Machines Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 156.56€ (1.42%) than the resistance at 172.94€ (8.89%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is International Business Machines Corporation stock A Buy?
International Business Machines Corp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.841 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for International Business Machines Corporation of Tuesday, May 28, 2024
Fair opening price May 28, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
158.19€ ( 0.399%) | 158.82€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IBM.F
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 160.97 | 1.35 % | |
R2 | 159.90 | 0.683 % | ||
R1 | 159.25 | 0.270 % | ||
Current price: | 158.82 | |||
Support | S1 | 157.12 | -1.07 % | |
S2 | 156.47 | -1.48 % | ||
S3 | 155.41 | -2.15 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 179.45 | 12.99 % | |
R2 | 178.70 | 12.52 % | ||
R1 | 172.94 | 8.89 % | ||
Current price | 158.82 | |||
Support | S1 | 156.56 | -1.42% | |
S2 | 156.04 | -1.75% | ||
S3 | 155.30 | -2.22% |
IBM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 09, 2024 | May 09, 2024 | Jun 10, 2024 | 1.67€ | 0% |
2 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | Mar 09, 2024 | 1.53€ | 0% |
3 | Nov 09, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | Dec 09, 2023 | 1.66€ | 0% |
4 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 08, 2023 | 0€ | 0% |
5 | Aug 09, 2023 | Aug 09, 2023 | Aug 09, 2023 | 1.66€ | 0% |
FAQ
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