International Business Machines Corp Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
International Business Machines Corp stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The International Business Machines Corp stock price fell by -0.82% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from 155.80€ to 154.52€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.87% from a day low at 154.48€ to a day high of 155.82€. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.4% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -926 shares and in total, 629 shares were bought and sold for approximately 97.19€ thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.74% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 131.50€ and 146.46€ at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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IBM.F Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The International Business Machines Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 154.81€ and 165.07€. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.01%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for International Business Machines Corp stock
International Business Machines Corp finds support from accumulated volume at 154.28€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved 1.34€ between high and low, or 0.87%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.790%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (IBM.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect International Business Machines Corporation to open at 154.94€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 152.21€ and 156.83€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-2.31€ (+/-1.50%) up or down from last closing price. If International Business Machines Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 154.28€ (0.16%) than the resistance at 156.04€ (0.98%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is International Business Machines Corporation stock A Buy?
International Business Machines Corp holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.385 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for International Business Machines Corporation of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 154.94€ ( 0.272%) | 154.52€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IBM.F
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 156.28 | 1.14 % | |
| R2 | 155.77 | 0.81 % | ||
| R1 | 155.45 | 0.603 % | ||
| Current price: | 154.52 | |||
| Support | S1 | 154.43 | -0.0595 % | |
| S2 | 154.11 | -0.264 % | ||
| S3 | 153.60 | -0.595 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 172.94 | 11.92 % | |
| R2 | 156.56 | 1.32 % | ||
| R1 | 156.04 | 0.98 % | ||
| Current price | 154.52 | |||
| Support | S1 | 154.28 | -0.155% | |
| S2 | 153.90 | -0.401% | ||
| S3 | 152.98 | -1.00% |
IBM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 09, 2024 | May 09, 2024 | Jun 10, 2024 | 1.67€ | 0% |
| 2 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | Mar 09, 2024 | 1.53€ | 0% |
| 3 | Nov 09, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | Dec 09, 2023 | 1.66€ | 0% |
| 4 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 08, 2023 | 0€ | 0% |
| 5 | Aug 09, 2023 | Aug 09, 2023 | Aug 09, 2023 | 1.66€ | 0% |
FAQ
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