Installed Building Products Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Installed Building Products Inc stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Installed Building Products Inc stock price fell by -0.405% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $244.69 to $243.70. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.76% from a day low at $243.44 to a day high of $257.45. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -52 thousand shares and in total, 217 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $52.99 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 14.24% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $259.09 and $310.12 at the end of this 3-month period.
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IBP Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Installed Building Products Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $243.88. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $240.42. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.07%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Installed Building Products Inc stock
Installed Building Products Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $240.32 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $14.01 between high and low, or 5.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.52%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (IBP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Installed Building Products Inc to open at $248.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $233.91 and $253.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$9.79 (+/-4.02%) up or down from last closing price. If Installed Building Products Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $244.69 (0.41%) than the support at $240.32 (1.39%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Installed Building Products Inc stock A Buy?
Installed Building Products Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.095 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Installed Building Products Inc of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$248.20 ( 1.85%) | $243.70 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IBP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 262.21 | 7.59 % | |
R2 | 256.85 | 5.40 % | ||
R1 | 253.55 | 4.04 % | ||
Current price: | 243.70 | |||
Support | S1 | 242.84 | -0.351 % | |
S2 | 239.54 | -1.71 % | ||
S3 | 234.19 | -3.90 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 257.30 | 5.58 % | |
R2 | 253.15 | 3.88 % | ||
R1 | 244.69 | 0.406 % | ||
Current price | 243.70 | |||
Support | S1 | 240.32 | -1.39% | |
S2 | 226.25 | -7.16% | ||
S3 | 223.05 | -8.47% |
IBP Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 22, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 31, 2024 | $1.95 | 0.754% |
2 | Nov 08, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 31, 2023 | $0.330 | 0.181% |
3 | Aug 02, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 30, 2023 | $0.330 | 0.264% |
4 | May 04, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.330 | 0.235% |
5 | Feb 22, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $1.23 | 1.08% |
FAQ
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