Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF Forecast
Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Tuesday trading session
(Updated on Jan 21, 2025)
The Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF price gained 0.0428% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 21st Jan 2025), rising from $23.34 to $23.35. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0857% from a day low at $23.34 to a day high of $23.36. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.17% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 664 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.50 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $23.21 and $23.32 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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IBTF Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $23.33 and $23.31. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, December 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.430%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, December 27, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, December 11, 2024.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, December 27, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, December 11, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, December 27, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, December 11, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF
Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury finds support from accumulated volume at $23.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0200 between high and low, or 0.0857%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0686%.
The Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETF may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $21.87 (-6.34%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. The RSI14 is 78 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (IBTF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 22nd we expect Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury Etf to open at $23.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.33 and $23.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0169 (+/-0.07%) up or down from last closing price. If Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $23.36 (0.02%) than the support at $23.33 (0.09%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury Etf ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Ishares Ibonds Dec 2025 Term Treasury ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.007 Buy Candidate Upgraded
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on January 22, 2025 - $23.35 ( 0.00000000%).IBTF Performance
Trading levels for IBTF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 23.37 | 0.0857% |
R2 | 23.36 | 0.0529% |
R1 | 23.36 | 0.0327% |
Price | 23.35 | |
S1 | 23.34 | -0.0327% |
S2 | 23.34 | -0.0529% |
S3 | 23.33 | -0.0857% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 23.37 | 0.0857% |
R2 | 23.36 | 0.0428% |
R1 | 23.36 | 0.0214% |
Price | 23.35 | |
S1 | 23.33 | -0.0857% |
S2 | 23.32 | -0.128% |
S3 | 23.30 | -0.214% |
IBTF Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 30, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 07, 2024 | $0.0828 | 0.358% |
2 | Mar 28, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $0.0851 | 0.368% |
3 | Feb 29, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | $0.0791 | 0.341% |
4 | Jan 31, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | $0.0819 | 0.352% |
5 | Dec 13, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.0841 | 0.362% |
FAQ
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