Inter Parfums Stock Forecast
About Chart
Golden Star
The Golden Star is a refined bullish signal based on the Golden Cross, developed by Jim Stromberg, incorporating additional time frame-specific moving averages and precise price line crossings. This signal is effective for liquid stocks, highlighting short-term upward momentum.
Death Star
The Death Star, developed by Jim Stromberg, is the bearish counterpart to the Golden Star, serving as a sell signal. It is triggered by specific moving average crossings on the price line, indicating a likely prolonged decline in the stock.
Golden Cross
The Golden Cross is a bullish signal where the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, indicating potential upward momentum.
Death Cross
The Death Cross is a bearish signal where the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, indicating potential downward momentum.
Pivot Bottom
A Pivot Bottom is a significant low point identified by algorithms developed by StockInvest.us. While it may indicate a short-term directional change, it does not necessarily imply a complete trend reversal. Pivot Bottoms are marked as green circles on the price line.
Pivot Top
A Pivot Top represents a significant high point identified by algorithms developed by StockInvest.us. Similar to Pivot Bottoms, it may suggest a short-term directional change within the main trend, rather than a full trend reversal. Pivot Tops are marked as red circles on the price line.
RSI Oversold
RSI oversold indicates that a stock has declined significantly and may be undervalued, potentially presenting a buying opportunity. This condition is marked by a green line on the chart but should be confirmed with other indicators before taking action.
RSI Overbought
RSI overbought suggests that a stock has risen rapidly and may be due for a pullback. It is marked by a red line on the chart, signaling increased risk. This doesn’t necessarily mean it’s time to sell, but it’s important to monitor closely.
Accumulated Volume
The bars indicate how much stock has been traded on each price during the chart period.
Buy Signal (MA)
Buy Signal from Moving Average: Indicates potential upward movement.
Sell Signal (MA)
Sell Signal from Moving Average: Indicates potential downward movement.
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
AI Analysis of IPAR
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Inter Parfums stock price down 2.75% on Thursday
(Updated on Oct 03, 2024)
Sell candidate since Oct 02, 2024
Loss -2.75%
The Inter Parfums stock price fell by -2.75% on the last day (Thursday, 3rd Oct 2024) from $125.77 to $122.31. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.78% from a day low at $121.54 to a day high of $126.14. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.57% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -73 thousand shares and in total, 102 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.48 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.28% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $108.39 and $130.49 at the end of this 3-month period.
IPAR Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Inter Parfums stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $126.73 and $122.98. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, October 01, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.74%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Inter Parfums stock
Inter Parfums finds support from accumulated volume at $121.88 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.60 between high and low, or 3.78%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.47%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (IPAR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 4th we expect Inter Parfums to open at $123.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $118.45 and $126.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.86 (+/-3.16%) up or down from last closing price. If Inter Parfums takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $121.88 (0.35%) than the resistance at $123.52 (0.99%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Inter Parfums stock A Buy?
Inter Parfums holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score:
-2.252
Sell Candidate
Unchanged
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on October 4, 2024 - $123.33 ( 0.83%). The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.Trading levels for IPAR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 127.93 | 4.59% |
| R2 | 126.17 | 3.16% |
| R1 | 125.09 | 2.27% |
| Price | 122.31 | |
| S1 | 121.57 | -0.603% |
| S2 | 120.49 | -1.49% |
| S3 | 118.73 | -2.93% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 138.35 | 13.11% |
| R2 | 131.15 | 7.23% |
| R1 | 123.52 | 0.99% |
| Price | 122.31 | |
| S1 | 121.88 | -0.352% |
| S2 | 119.49 | -2.31% |
| S3 | 114.88 | -6.07% |
IPAR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 06, 2024 | Sep 13, 2024 | Sep 30, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.579% |
| 2 | Jun 14, 2024 | Jun 14, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.646% |
| 3 | Feb 09, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.534% |
| 4 | Feb 13, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 31, 2023 | $0.625 | 0.434% |
| 5 | Aug 08, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 30, 2023 | $0.630 | 0.469% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Inter Parfums Stock.
