Vanguard S&p Mid-cap 400 Value Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 12, 2025 Loss -3.71%

The Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index ETF price fell by -2.03% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $98.92 to $96.91. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.17% from a day low at $96.72 to a day high of $98.82. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.46% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -352 thousand shares and in total, 33 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.15 million.

The ETF has broken the narrow and horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $97.04 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.

IVOV Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $99.35 and $100.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 27, 2025, and so far it has fallen -4.59%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index ETF

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.10 between high and low, or 2.17%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.18%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (IVOV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $97.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $96.26 and $97.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.30 (+/-1.35%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $97.91, some $1.00 (1.03%) from the current price of $96.91, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -3.982 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $97.48 ( 0.592%).

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