Vanguard S&p Mid-cap 400 Value Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since May 28, 2026 Gain 0.47%

The Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index ETF price fell by -0.199% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $110.40 to $110.18. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.300% from a day low at $109.91 to a day high of $110.24. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.27% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 13 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.45 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.12% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $116.08 and $123.94 at the end of this 3-month period.

IVOV Signals & Forecast

The Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $109.77 and $108.59. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 06, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.488%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index ETF

Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index finds support from accumulated volume at $106.81 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.330 between high and low, or 0.300%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.740%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $107.19 (-2.71%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 19 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (IVOV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $110.11, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $109.61 and $110.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.14 (+/-1.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $110.40 (0.20%) than the support at $106.81 (3.06%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value Index ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.514 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $110.11 ( 0.0635%).

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