Jack Henry & Associates Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Jack Henry & Associates stock price up 0.752% on Monday
(Updated on Apr 29, 2024)
The Jack Henry & Associates stock price gained 0.752% on the last trading day (Monday, 29th Apr 2024), rising from $164.88 to $166.12. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.93% from a day low at $165.07 to a day high of $166.60. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.65% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -31 thousand shares and in total, 291 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $48.34 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.95% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $153.66 and $167.89 at the end of this 3-month period.
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JKHY Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Jack Henry & Associates stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $168.94. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $165.57. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.45%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday, February 23, 2024 with a target of $172.53. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to fall.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Jack Henry & Associates stock
Jack Henry & Associates finds support from accumulated volume at $165.83 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.53 between high and low, or 0.93%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.34%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (JKHY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect Jack Henry & Associates to open at $165.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $163.54 and $168.70, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.58 (+/-1.55%) up or down from last closing price. If Jack Henry & Associates takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $165.83 (0.17%) than the resistance at $169.18 (1.84%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Jack Henry & Associates will release earnings AMC on Tuesday, May 07, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.16. We will update the financials statements for Jack Henry & Associates, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.36% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Jack Henry & Associates stock A Buy?
Jack Henry & Associates holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.863 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Jack Henry & Associates of Tuesday, April 30, 2024
| Fair opening price April 30, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $165.93 ( 0.114%) | $166.12 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for JKHY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 167.46 | 0.81 % | |
| R2 | 166.88 | 0.455 % | ||
| R1 | 166.51 | 0.237 % | ||
| Current price: | 166.12 | |||
| Support | S1 | 165.35 | -0.466 % | |
| S2 | 164.98 | -0.684 % | ||
| S3 | 164.40 | -1.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 174.05 | 4.77 % | |
| R2 | 170.46 | 2.61 % | ||
| R1 | 169.18 | 1.84 % | ||
| Current price | 166.12 | |||
| Support | S1 | 165.83 | -0.175% | |
| S2 | 165.75 | -0.223% | ||
| S3 | 163.91 | -1.33% |
JKHY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 12, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.550 | 0.331% |
| 2 | Feb 09, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.550 | 0.331% |
| 3 | Nov 14, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.520 | 0.315% |
| 4 | Aug 18, 2023 | Sep 07, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | $0.520 | 0.343% |
| 5 | May 12, 2023 | May 25, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | $0.520 | 0.314% |
FAQ
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